ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025
2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 100.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.0N 100.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.3N 101.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 104.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 106.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  85SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N 108.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.3N 112.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 100.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 
NNNN